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Winter Forecast 2012

Sunday, December 2, 2012

What's in Store for Northern VA this Winter?

El Niño didn't really form, making predictions difficult for meteorlogists.

Forecasters are mixed in making predicitions for Northern Virginia's weather this winter. Some meteorologists are calling for an “average” winter in terms of snowfall, but some say there could be higher-than-average amounts of the white stuff. “During an El Niño winter we can see some heavy snows and some cool temperatures here in the mid-Atlantic," ABC7 meteorologist Matt Stinneford told WTOP. "However, as we got further into fall, it became apparent that an El Niño was not going to develop." NOAA’s Mike Halpert told the Capital Weather Gang in October, “This is one of the most challenging outlooks we’ve produced in recent years because El Niño decided not to show up as expected.” NOAA’s outlook calls for approximately equal chances that …

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Winter Weather Forecast: Normal Temps, More Snow—Maybe

First snowfall in early December. Blizzard Jan. 30 - 31. Are you ready?

Jason Samenow of the Capital Weather Gang said he knows of no meteorologist, including himself, who "assign[s] any legitimacy to the Old Farmer's Almanac weather predictions." But even Samenow admits that sometimes the Almanac gets it right. The Farmers' Almanac said it was "on the money" in 2011 with several forecasts, including these: • "Accurately predicted a major snowstorm for the Northeastern and Great Lakes states for early February 2011. At that time, heavy snow did pound the Northeastern U.S., while a blizzard shut down Chicago." • "Predicted that the spring of 2011 would be exceptionally wet, and that parts of the U.S. would see a very active tornado season. This proved to be true when flooding overwhelmed the Mississippi River …

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